Methods for Prediction of Transport Demand on Cargo Terminals

undergraduate thesis

• Title: Metode predviđanja prijevozne potražnje na robno-transportnim centrima
• Author: Dominik Matić
• Mentor: Tomislav Rožić (mentor)
• Committee member: Tomislav-Josip Mlinarić (predsjednik povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Ratko Stanković (član povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Mario Šafran (član povjerenstva)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; Faculty of Transport and Traffic Sciences; (Division of Intelligent Transport Systems and Logistics); (Department of Intelligent Transport Systems); Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2018-09-17, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: TECHNICAL SCIENCES; Traffic and Transport Technology; Intelligent Transport Systems and Logistics

Abstract

Robno-transportni centri su vitalne komponente logističkih mreža i transportnih lanaca. Znanje kako rasporediti i unaprijed pripremiti resurse, kako materijalne tako i ljudske, za nadolazeće razdoblje, prijeko je potrebno kako bi robno-transportni centri mogli nesmetano funkcionirati. Potražnja se stvara na svakom tržištu, bez obzira čime se ono bavi, jer bez nje ne bi postojalo niti samo tržište. Predviđanje potražnje ključan je faktor, jer to je način stjecanja znanja unaprijed, a metode kojima se to predviđanje vrši moraju biti što preciznije kako bi se opravdalo ulaganje. Analizom utjecaja okoline na potražnju i određivanja lokacije kao temeljnog cilja prilikom predviđanja prijevozne potražnje na nekom području u ovom je radu pokazana nužnost pregleda svakog faktora okoline. Isto tako analizirane su metode predviđanja pri čemu se može vidjeti koliko međusobno imaju sličnosti, ali i koliko razlika. Na kraju je jedna od metoda pokazana i primjerom na Republici Hrvatskoj.

Abstract (english)

Logistic centers are vital components of logistic networks and transport chains. The knowledge of how to distribute and prepare both material and human resoursces in advance for the forthcoming period is necessary for undisturbed functioning of logistic centers. Demand is created in every market, no matter what it is dealing in, because without it there would be no market. Forecasting is a key factor, because it is a way of acquiring knowledge in advance, and the methods used to forecast must be as precise as possible in order to justify the investment. By analysis of the influence of environment on demand and determining location as the fundamental goal when forecasting transport demand in a certain area, the necessity of looking at every environment factor is shown in this work. The methods of forecasting have been analysed and we can see how much alike they are, but also how different. One of them has been shown on the example of the Republic of Croatia as well.

• Keywords: robno-transportni centar; potražnja; predviđanje; prijevoz
• Keywords (english): logistic center; demand; forecasting; transport
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:119:298017
• Study programme: Title: Inteligentni transportni sustavi i logistika; smjerovi: Inteligentni transportni sustavi, Logistika; Study programme type: sveučilišni; Study level: preddiplomski; Academic / professional title: sveučilišni/a prvostupnik/prvostupnica (baccalaureus/baccalaurea) inženjer/inženjerka prometa (sveučilišni/a prvostupnik/prvostupnica (baccalaureus/baccalaurea) inženjer/inženjerka prometa)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Open access
• Created on: 2018-12-11 15:09:52